Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.182818 0.215247 0.251471 0.294892 0.345491 0.402560 0.471776
2025-09-28 0.132954 0.174262 0.225266 0.292715 0.379416 0.486958 0.630327
2025-10-05 0.111073 0.157605 0.219460 0.307364 0.428715 0.589946 0.820009
2025-10-12 0.097669 0.147921 0.218882 0.325819 0.482242 0.701924 1.032989
2025-10-19 0.085218 0.136664 0.213256 0.334738 0.521592 0.796901 1.231793
2025-10-26 0.073601 0.124333 0.203571 0.335198 0.547021 0.872828 1.409611
2025-11-02 0.062207 0.110316 0.188888 0.325134 0.553762 0.919645 1.546253
2025-11-09 0.052015 0.096576 0.172484 0.309538 0.548725 0.945962 1.651272
2025-11-16 0.046140 0.089366 0.165906 0.309308 0.568709 1.014304 1.831857
2025-11-23 0.039984 0.080675 0.155468 0.300678 0.572546 1.054897 1.968062
2025-11-30 0.036643 0.076781 0.153142 0.306339 0.602362 1.143341 2.197247
2025-12-07 0.033079 0.071906 0.148284 0.306456 0.621559 1.214056 2.400552
2025-12-14 0.029103 0.065849 0.140810 0.301491 0.632344 1.273911 2.597390
2025-12-21 0.025899 0.060964 0.135103 0.299505 0.649159 1.347919 2.831774
2025-12-28 0.024586 0.060016 0.137431 0.314503 0.702408 1.499170 3.236316
2026-01-04 0.023677 0.059836 0.141351 0.333373 0.765976 1.677885 3.716129
2026-01-11 0.022109 0.057838 0.140932 0.342491 0.809372 1.819119 4.132191
2026-01-18 0.020128 0.054508 0.136985 0.342961 0.833418 1.921468 4.475228
2026-01-25 0.017734 0.049734 0.128948 0.332672 0.831417 1.966463 4.696221
2026-02-01 0.015336 0.044542 0.119147 0.316727 0.813990 1.974745 4.834654
2026-02-08 0.014027 0.042078 0.115831 0.316493 0.834467 2.071964 5.189029
2026-02-15 0.012464 0.038640 0.109511 0.307670 0.832467 2.115998 5.421808
2026-02-22 0.011698 0.037374 0.108777 0.313457 0.868316 2.254563 5.897749